MaintainerPulse
temporal prediction of dependency maintenance riskdjango-session-timeout LabD/django-session-timeout ▲ high risk
100%
no release in the next 12 months
54%
new issues will go unanswered (30 days)
100%
maintainer activity collapse within 12 months
13%
chance of a release within 12 months (survival model)
Model risk over time
calibrated P(no release next 12mo) at each historical monthly snapshot
What drives this score
TreeSHAP contributions; raises risk /
lowers risk
Survival curve
P(still no release) m months ahead, discrete-time hazard model
What if? — poke the model
drag a signal and the deployed models rescore this package live (implied signals move together — two years without a release also zeroes "releases, last 12mo"). The needle tracks the activity-collapse model, a logistic regression: monotone by construction, so it responds smoothly to counterfactuals where the tree models step.
maintainer activity collapse, 12mo
In plain words
- no PyPI release in 78 months
- no pushes to the repository in 105 months
Signals at the latest snapshot
| days since last release | 2368 | releases, last 12mo | 0 |
| people pushing, last 12mo | 0 | bus factor (top pusher share) | - |
| issues opened, last 12mo | 0 | 30-day response rate | no issues |
| stars accumulated | 3 | open vulns without fix | 0 |
Probabilities are isotonic-calibrated on a held-out validation year and evaluated on future snapshots the models never saw (PR-AUC 0.894, precision@50 = 1.00 on the headline target).